Man Utd share value 'could
plunge'
13 August 2012
Manchester United shares are
worth less than a quarter of the amount the Glazers had hoped to raise,
according a leading business company.
PrivCo, an independent financial
analyst, said United's stock price could plummet further - and gave the shares
a value that would mean the club is worth less now than when the Glazers bought
it in 2005.
The Glazers floated 10% of shares
in the club on the New York Stock Exchange on Friday, looking for a maximum
price of $20 a share.
United's current share price is
$14, but millions of shares have been bought by the seven banks underwriting
the IPO, and PrivCo calculated their true value is just $4.97 each - giving
United a value of around $800 million rather than the $3.3 billion the American
family had wanted.
The Glazers paid just under £800
million to complete their takeover in 2005.
"Manchester United's
valuation using several accurate valuation methodologies is a mere $4.97 a
share, only about one-third of its $14 a share offering price (which is also
the price at which it closed its first trading day, but only because IPO
underwriters placed large open-market bids at $14 a share to prevent the stock
from closing below the IPO price)," PrivCo said.
The company compared United with
other publicly-listed football clubs including Juventus, Roma and Borussia
Dortmund, and recent takeovers of other sports clubs or franchises, including
Liverpool, LA Dodgers and Boston Celtics, and predicted that the club will
emulate Facebook, whose share price also plunged quickly.
"The objective, independent
valuation indicates that MANU stock could plunge by nearly two-thirds of its
IPO price before it reaches fair value," PrivCo explained.
"Furthermore, PrivCo data
shows the implications of other recent IPOs where IPO underwriters were forced
to make 'stabilising bids' on the first day's trading correlated with rapid
plunge in stock prices as soon as the ephemeral artificial floor propping up
price in initial days is removed, and how this augurs poorly for Manchester
United's public shareholders."
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